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Filed under: Reactive Thoughts
We are Nowhere Near the Bottom
The 2020 Recession has barely begun — unfortunately
You really have to forgive those who are trying to be positive, saying the worst is over with this economic mess most of us are facing. It’s a lot easier if you kept your job of course, or were already financially “stable” prior — but reality will smack us in the face soon enough in the coming months.
We have to get it out of our heads that the stock market is a useful indicator of how the overall economy is doing. We know there’s a disconnect because generally wealthier people are the ones dealing with stocks and bonds (i.e., “Investment income”), but I’ve already made the case that we had a weak economy before COVID-19 hit — even though the stock market was on a bull run for over a decade.
Market crashes like the ones we saw in March are just a warning sign to the rest of us that shit’s about to get real — likely with significant economic problems still ahead for the economy.
Kind of like when the water suddenly recedes from the shoreline before a tsunami hits.